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By JOSH BOAK WASHINGTON (AP) — Donald Trump loved to use tariffs on foreign goods during his first presidency. But their impact was barely noticeable in the overall economy, even if their aftershocks were clear in specific industries. The data show they never fully delivered on his promised factory jobs. Nor did they provoke the avalanche of inflation that critics feared. This time, though, his tariff threats might be different . The president-elect is talking about going much bigger — on a potential scale that creates more uncertainty about whether he’ll do what he says and what the consequences could be. “There’s going to be a lot more tariffs, I mean, he’s pretty clear,” said Michael Stumo, the CEO of Coalition for a Prosperous America, a group that has supported import taxes to help domestic manufacturing. The president-elect posted on social media Monday that on his first day in office he would impose 25% tariffs on all goods imported from Mexico and Canada until those countries satisfactorily stop illegal immigration and the flow of illegal drugs such as fentanyl into the United States. Those tariffs could essentially blow up the North American trade pact that Trump’s team negotiated during his initial term. Chinese imports would face additional tariffs of 10% until Beijing cracks down on the production of materials used in making fentanyl, Trump posted. Business groups were quick to warn about rapidly escalating inflation , while Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said she would counter the move with tariffs on U.S. products. House Democrats put together legislation to strip a president’s ability to unilaterally apply tariffs this drastic, warning that they would likely lead to higher prices for autos, shoes, housing and groceries. Sheinbaum said Wednesday that her administration is already working up a list of possible retaliatory tariffs “if the situation comes to that.” “The economy department is preparing it,” Sheinbaum said. “If there are tariffs, Mexico would increase tariffs, it is a technical task about what would also benefit Mexico,” she said, suggesting her country would impose targeted import duties on U.S. goods in sensitive areas. House Democrats on Tuesday introduced a bill that would require congressional approval for a president to impose tariffs due to claims of a national emergency, a largely symbolic action given Republicans’ coming control of both the House and Senate. “This legislation would enable Congress to limit this sweeping emergency authority and put in place the necessary Congressional oversight before any president – Democrat or Republican – could indiscriminately raise costs on the American people through tariffs,” said Rep. Suzan DelBene, D-Wash. But for Trump, tariffs are now a tested tool that seems less politically controversial even if the mandate he received in November’s election largely involved restraining inflation. The tariffs he imposed on China in his first term were continued by President Joe Biden, a Democrat who even expanded tariffs and restrictions on the world’s second largest economy. Biden administration officials looked at removing Trump’s tariffs in order to bring down inflationary pressures, only to find they were unlikely to help significantly. Tariffs were “so new and unique that it freaked everybody out in 2017,” said Stumo, but they were ultimately somewhat modest. Trump imposed tariffs on solar panels and washing machines at the start of 2018, moves that might have pushed up prices in those sectors even though they also overlapped with plans to open washing machine plants in Tennessee and South Carolina. His administration also levied tariffs on steel and aluminum, including against allies. He then increased tariffs on China, leading to a trade conflict and a limited 2020 agreement that failed to produce the promised Chinese purchases of U.S. goods. Still, the dispute changed relations with China as more U.S. companies looked for alternative suppliers in other countries. Economic research also found the United States may have sacrificed some of its “soft power” as the Chinese population began to watch fewer American movies. The Federal Reserve kept inflation roughly on target, but factory construction spending never jumped in a way that suggested a lasting gain in manufacturing jobs. Separate economic research found the tariff war with China did nothing economically for the communities hurt by offshoring, but it did help Trump and Republicans in those communities politically. When Trump first became president in 2017, the federal government collected $34.6 billion in customs, duties and fees. That sum more than doubled under Trump to $70.8 billion in 2019, according to Office of Management and Budget records. While that sum might seem meaningful, it was relatively small compared to the overall economy. America’s gross domestic product is now $29.3 trillion, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The total tariffs collected in the United States would equal less than 0.3% of GDP. The new tariffs being floated by Trump now are dramatically larger and there could be far more significant impacts. If Mexico, Canada, and China faced the additional tariffs proposed by Trump on all goods imported to the United States, that could be roughly equal to $266 billion in tax collections, a number that does not assume any disruptions in trade or retaliatory moves by other countries. The cost of those taxes would likely be borne by U.S. families, importers and domestic and foreign companies in the form of higher prices or lower profits. Former Biden administration officials said they worried that companies could piggyback on Trump’s tariffs — if they’re imposed — as a rationale to raise their prices, just as many companies after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 boosted food and energy costs and gave several major companies the space to raise prices, according to their own earnings calls with investors. But what Trump didn’t really spell out is what might cause him to back down on tariffs and declare a victory. What he is creating instead with his tariff threats is a sense of uncertainty as companies and countries await the details to figure out what all of this could mean. “We know the key economic policy priorities of the incoming Trump administration, but we don’t know how or when they will be addressed,” said Greg Daco, chief U.S. economist at EY-Parthenon. AP writer Mark Stevenson contributed to this report from Mexico City.

The average investor can easily find new investment ideas by following well-known asset managers. One of those managers is Cathie Wood , who heads up Ark Invest, an investment fund that focuses on disruptive and innovative businesses. In the Ark Innovation ETF , the flagship product that the asset manager offers to clients, fintech enterprise Block ( SQ -0.47% ) is a top holding. As of Nov. 21, it's the eighth largest position. Should you buy this top Cathie Wood stock while it trades below $100 per share? Bullish on fintech Cathie Wood and her team at Ark Invest are bullish on numerous technological trends. One of the areas the investment manager is optimistic about is the fintech industry. In particular, the excitement relates to how companies are offering holistic solutions to customers for all their financial services needs. Block falls squarely into this investment theme. Ark Invest believes that in the future, the business' vertically integrated offerings, like digital wallets, bank accounts, and debit cards for consumers, and payroll, working capital, and bill pay for merchants, will result in a powerful and more widely used closed-loop payments system. Block is at the forefront of this trend. Indicative of how much Ark Invest is bullish on the fintech niche, the firm offers the Ark Fintech Innovation ETF , which primarily focuses on these types of businesses. Block is the third largest holding in that fund, making up 6.3% of the assets. Block's positive traits Investors probably appreciate Block's growth potential. Through the first nine months of 2024, the company reported a 20% year-over-year increase in gross profit . Both of the critical segments, Square and Cash App, saw double-digit gains with this key performance metric. On the merchant side, Square processed $59.9 billion in gross payment volume in the three-month period that ended Sept. 30. The segment continues to attract larger sellers. On the consumer side, Cash App now has 57 million monthly active users. Management continues to drive further adoption of the Cash App Card, which can boost spending activity and, ultimately, the revenue and gross profit that Block generates. Like many other tech-enabled companies in recent years, Block has made an effort to streamline its operations and drive greater efficiencies. We're seeing this play out right before our eyes. The business posted $323 million in operating income in the third quarter. That's a massive reversal from the $10 million operating loss reported in the year-ago period. The leadership team upped their full-year 2024 guidance, which now calls for an adjusted operating margin of 18%. In theory, Block's business model should scale up in a profitable manner. Large expense items, like product development and sales and marketing, should constitute a lower percentage of total revenue over time, showcasing operating leverage. Shareholders must pay close attention to this going forward to ensure the strategy is working. Betting on earnings growth Block shares were once some of the best-performing on Wall Street. From the company's initial public offering in November 2015 to the stock's peak in August 2021, the share price skyrocketed more than 2,000% higher. That gain was hard to beat. It's been a totally different story since then. As of this writing on Nov. 21, the stock trades 67% off that all-time high. The market is adopting a more tempered view of the business and its prospects. Investors looking to buy shares must pay a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.9. That's very reasonable. However, the stock should only be purchased by those who believe the company's top- and bottom-line growth are set to continue at a solid clip. Cathie Wood thinks this will be the case. Based on recent trends, I believe this is a likely outcome as well, which makes the stock look like a compelling buy below $100.The Green Bay Packers are set to take on the Miami Dolphins in Week 13 on Thursday night during Thanksgiving. It's an important game for Green Bay, as a win improves them to a 9-3 record, challenging the Minnesota Vikings for second place in the NFC North. It won't be an easy contest for the Packers, however, as the Dolphins are on a three-game winning streak. Meanwhile, Green Bay needs a win to extend their streak to three on Thursday night. Unfortunately, the franchise announced some bad news ahead of its Thanksgiving game. Wide receiver Romeo Doubs, cornerback Jaire Alexander, and linebacker Edgerrin Cooper are all ruled out for the Packers in Week 13, according to Adam Schefter of ESPN. Doubs is dealing with a concussion he suffered in the Packers' 38-10 Week 12 win over the San Francisco 49ers. Meanwhile, Alexander is still dealing with a knee injury he suffered in the 30-27 Week 8 win against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Packers ruled out WR Romeo Doubs (concussion), CB Jaire Alexander (knee) and LB Edgerrin Cooper (hamstring) for Thursday night’s game vs. the Dolphins. The 27-year-old cornerback did try to return to action against the 49ers but only participated in 10 plays before being pulled. Cooper suffered a hamstring injury during Wednesday's practice and won't be available on Thursday night. Sports fans hopped on social media and voiced their concern for the Packers. With the Dolphins playing lights out in their previous three games, many believe Doubs', Alexander's, and Cooper's injuries could be detrimental for Green Bay on Thanksgiving night. © Mark Hoffman/Milwaukee Journal Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images "Not good. Not good at all for the Packers. Dolphins will romp this," claimed one sports fan . A Dolphins fan proclaimed , "I would love to see the Dolphins smoke Green Bay in cold weather." "Dolphins' offense vs. a banged-up Packers D? This could get interesting fast," stated another individual . One pessimistic sports fan admitted , "These Thanksgiving games are gonna SUCK." "Packers probably can count on the cold weather being the only defense they need against the Dolphins offense. Tua is good for two or three turnovers," said one user . Despite the injury woes the Packers are suffering with in Week 13, oddsmakers have Green Bay as a 3.5 point favorite over Miami on Thursday night. Christian Watson and Jayden Reed will likely lead the way in the passing game . Carrington Valentine (CB) and Isaiah McDuffie (LB) will likely sub in for Alexander and Cooper. Related: Davante Adams Says Jordan Love is the Best in NFL at One Thing

Washington, Nov 25 (AP) Federal prosecutors moved on Monday to abandon the classified documents case against President-elect Donald Trump in light of longstanding Justice Department policy that says sitting presidents cannot face criminal prosecution. The announcement in an appeals court filing in Florida came shortly after a similar filing was made by prosecutors in Washington, DC, where they asked to dismiss the case accusing Trump of plotting to overturn the 2020 election. The move amounts to a predictable but nonetheless stunning conclusion to a criminal case that just one year ago had been seen as the most perilous legal threat that he faced. It reflects the practical consequences of Trump's victory, ensuring he enters office free from scrutiny over his hoarding of top secret documents and conduct that prosecutors said had jeopardised national scrutiny. The dismissal had been foreshadowed in recent weeks by the revelation that special counsel Jack Smith was evaluating how to wind down both that case and a separate pending prosecution he brought charging Trump with plotting to overturn the results of the 2020 election. Justice Department legal opinions dating back decades say sitting presidents cannot be indicted or prosecuted while in office. Special counsel Jack Smith asked a federal judge on Monday to dismiss the case accusing President-elect Donald Trump of plotting to overturn the 2020 election, citing longstanding Justice Department policy shielding presidents from prosecution while in office. The move announced in court papers marks the end of the Justice Department's landmark effort to hold Trump accountable for what prosecutors called a criminal conspiracy to cling to power in the run-up to his supporters' attack on the US Capitol on January 6, 2021. Justice Department prosecutors, citing longstanding department guidance that a sitting president cannot be prosecuted, said the department's position is that “the Constitution requires that this case be dismissed before the defendant is inaugurated”. “That prohibition is categorical and does not turn on the gravity of the crimes charged, the strength of the Government's proof, or the merits of the prosecution, which the government stands fully behind,” the prosecutors wrote in Monday's court filing. The decision was expected after Smith's team began assessing how to wind down both the 2020 election interference case and the separate classified documents case in the wake of Trump's victory over Vice President Kamala Harris. The Justice Department believes Trump can no longer be tried in accordance with longstanding policy that says sitting presidents cannot be prosecuted. Trump has cast both cases as politically motivated, and had vowed to fire Smith as soon as he takes office in January. The 2020 election case brought last year was once seen as one of the most serious legal threats facing the Republican as he vied to reclaim the White House. But it quickly stalled amid legal fighting over Trump's sweeping claims of immunity from prosecution for acts he took while in the White House. The US Supreme Court in July ruled for the first time that former presidents have broad immunity from prosecution, and sent the case back to US District Judge Tanya Chutkan to determine which allegations in the indictment, if any, could proceed to trial. The case was just beginning to pick up steam again in the trial court in the weeks leading up to this year's election. Smith's team in October filed a lengthy brief laying out new evidence they planned to use against him at trial, accusing him of using “resorting to crimes” in an increasingly desperate effort to overturn the will of voters after he lost to President Joe Biden. (AP) PY PY (This story has not been edited by THE WEEK and is auto-generated from PTI)The Lenovo laptop I recommend for hybrid workers is more than $1,600 off for Black Friday

OMAHA, Neb. (AP) — Creighton point guard Steven Ashworth likely won't play Tuesday in the No. 21 Bluejays' game against San Diego State in the Players Era Festival in Las Vegas. Ashworth sprained his right ankle late in a loss to Nebraska on Friday, and coach Greg McDermott said he didn't know how long he would be out. Javascript is required for you to be able to read premium content. Please enable it in your browser settings.

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