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Israel and Lebanon's Hezbollah agree to a ceasefire after nearly 14 months of fightingbennymarty Listen below or on the go on Apple Podcasts and Spotify Country will sell or discontinue wallet Chivo as part of deal. (0:16) GDP revised higher . (1:05) Micron stumbles and quantum computing stocks take breather. (3:12) The following is an abridged transcript: El Salvador will sell or discontinue its bitcoin ( BTC-USD ) wallet Chivo as part of a new deal with the International Monetary Fund. El Salvador, the first country to make bitcoin legal tender, agreed to scale back on its bitcoin-related policies. Under the $1.4 billion loan deal, the nation will allow businesses to voluntarily accept bitcoin as a means of payment, while ensuring that taxes will continue to be paid exclusively in U.S. dollars, rather than in BTC. For the public sector, participation in bitcoin-related activities, as well as transactions and purchases involving bitcoin, will be restricted, the IMF said in a statement. Still, the Central American country, where bitcoin remains -- and will continue to be -- legal tender, will keep adding bitcoin to its reserves "at possibly an accelerated pace," Stacy Herbert, director of the national bitcoin office, wrote. Looking to the economy, the third estimate of U.S. GDP in Q3 2024 settled at +3.1% Q/Q, up from the Commerce Department's previous estimate of 2.8%, reflecting upward revisions to exports and consumer spending. Those upward adjustments were partly offset by a downward revision to private inventory investment. Imports, which are subtracted from GDP, were revised up, reflecting a drag on U.S. economic growth. The revised number shows that Q3 growth ticked up from the already strong 3.0% Q/Q rate notched in Q2 2024 and provides further evidence that the U.S. consumer continues to drive economic growth. And weekly initial jobless claims fell by 22,000 to 220,000, compared with the 229,000 consensus. Economist Mohamed El-Erian says the strong GDP number, combined with the decline in initial jobless claims "will dampen hopes of an immediate retracement of yesterday’s surge in bond yields (which was the largest since the 2013 Taper Tantrum). The 10-year Treasury yield ( US10Y ) is now close to 4.6%. But in equities, unlike George Washington’s troops who holed up in Valley Forge for the winter on this day in 1777, buyers are still visible. Stocks are rebounding slightly, with the major averages up +0.5%. Among active stocks today, the focus is on the tech sector. Micron Technology ( MU ) suffered from a greater-than-expected revenue decline in NAND flash memory when it reported its first quarter fiscal 2025 results after the bell yesterday, leading to multiple price target cuts by analysts. And quantum computing stocks took a breather from their rally. IonQ ( IONQ ) struggled for gains in spite of D.A. Davidson starting coverage with a Buy rating and $50 price target. D.A. Davidson's analysts said they believe IonQ represents a compelling pure-play investment positioned to capitalize on quantum computing's rapid growth, driven by the growing inadequacy of classical computing for solving complex problems. Chris Ciaccia, team leader for tech news coverage, has more: “So, since we're in the holiday season, I think Micron can best be, likened to a Charles Dickens' movie -- or Charles Dickens' novel, A Tale of Two Cities. You've got the data center and high-bandwidth memory business, which are incredibly strong, driven by AI. “Revenue was up 400% year-over-year, but it's the PC and consumer business that are really weak. So, that's why you're seeing the stock down 15% today. Expectations were a little high going into the print last night, with the guidance being weak, and the company is saying that it's not really going to see a turnaround in the consumer business until the second half of the year. “That's why you're seeing the stock sell off when investors are disappointed. So, it's more of, like I said, A Tale of Two Cities for Micron. The data center and the AI business are super, super strong, but the consumer business is weak, and that's what's impacting the stock.” “Quantum computing is really, really heavy stuff. It's basically taking complex math formulas and calculations that are not able to be performed by your traditional computing. So, it doesn't operate in your 0 and 1 binary situation. It operates in something called qubits, which are super, super complex, and quantum technology. And these are really, really nascent areas of technology.” “You've seen this market. You've seen these stocks rally, in some cases, 2,000% this year, and it's a case of another Charles Dickens novel, Great Expectations. There's a lot expected from quantum computing, but there's just not a lot there yet.” “You're talking about some companies that -- in the case of Quantum Computing, it's based out of a college in New Jersey, and it did around a $100,000 in revenue in the third quarter, yet the company is valued at $3 billion. So, it's just -- it's a lot of hype around these companies, especially given what you saw with Google's Willow chip couple of weeks ago, and investors seem to have just gotten ahead of themselves, and I think that's why you're starting to see the stocks correct today.” In other news of note, Hims & Hers Health ( HIMS ) is under pressure after the FDA determined that there is no shortage of Eli Lilly's ( LLY ) GLP-1 medication tirzepatide. That’s the active ingredient in its weight loss and type 2 diabetes therapies Zepbound and Mounjaro. The decision is seen as a blow to Hims and other companies selling compounded versions of popular GLP-1 therapies. Hims sells a compounded version of Novo Nordisk's ( NVO ) semaglutide, the active ingredient in Wegovy and Ozempic for weight loss and type 2 diabetes. Although an FDA drug shortages website lists all doses of both Wegovy and Ozempic as available, the agency said they are still in shortage. The FDA said it would not take action against drug compounders who sell tirzepatide until either Feb. 18 or March 19, 2025, depending on how they are licensed, "to avoid unnecessary disruption to patient treatment." And in the Wall Street Research Corner, another day, another 25. UBS analysts updated their highest conviction calls of 25 stocks for 2025. Analyst Joseph Parkhill says: “We've focused on stocks where we believe our analysts have a differentiated view vs. consensus, and where we have interesting or proprietary data sources.” Analysts also consider the potential upside to each stock’s price target, the risk/reward skew and each of the stock's exposure to important themes for the next year. The picks include 3M ( MMM ), Amazon ( AMZN ), Conoco Phillips ( COP ), Keurig Dr. Pepper ( KDP ), Mastercard ( MA ), Oracle ( ORCL ) and Texas Instruments ( TXN ).
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By Jack Queen (Reuters) - Gautam Adani, the billionaire chair of Indian conglomerate Adani Group and one of the world's richest people, could face a long road to trial in the U.S. on criminal charges over his alleged role in a multi-billion-dollar fraud and bribery scheme. Here’s a look at what’s next for Adani, who is accused of conspiring to pay about $265 million in bribes to Indian government officials to obtain contracts and develop India's largest solar power plant project. WHAT IS HE CHARGED WITH? The indictment alleges Adani and his co-defendants agreed to pay more than $250 million in bribes to Indian officials to obtain solar contracts worth an estimated $2 billion over 20 years. Adani is charged with foreign bribery, securities fraud, securities fraud conspiracy and wire fraud conspiracy. U.S. law allows prosecutors to charge executives with foreign bribery when their companies do business in the U.S. and also gives broad jurisdiction over transactions that pass through U.S. financial institutions. Prosecutors also allege Adani deceived U.S. investors by covering up the alleged bribes. HAS ADANI BEEN ARRESTED? No. If Adani is in India, U.S. prosecutors would need to ask the Indian government to extradite him under the terms of the two countries’ extradition treaty. That process would be handled by a court in India, which would need to consider several factors including whether the crime he was charged with in the U.S. is also a crime in India, whether the charges are politically motivated or whether he could face inhumane treatment in the U.S. Adani could fight extradition, and it is unclear how long the process might take. The billionaire is accused of bribing Indian government officials, which could make extradition more politically fraught. HAS ADANI ENTERED A PLEA YET? No. Adani has not been arrested and his whereabouts are unknown, though he is believed to be in India. He could not immediately be reached for comment. In a statement Thursday, Adani Group said the charges were "baseless" and that the company is a "law-abiding organization, fully compliant with all laws." CAN ADANI DISPUTE THE CHARGES IN COURT? Yes, but until he appears in U.S. court, Adani's lawyers could only challenge the indictment on procedural grounds, for example by claiming U.S. prosecutors do not have the authority to charge him. After Adani appears before a U.S. judge, his lawyers could attack the substance of the indictment by arguing the charges are legally deficient or unsupported by the facts. Defendants generally face an uphill battle getting criminal charges thrown out because prosecutors enjoy the benefit of the doubt in the early stages of a case, and judges are reluctant to dismiss cases before juries have a chance to weigh the facts. Prosecutors cite extensive evidence of the alleged crimes in the indictment, including in-person meetings with Indian officials and an extensive paper trail of cell phone and messaging app records. Adani could also strike a plea deal with prosecutors by agreeing to admit to certain crimes in exchange for a lighter sentence, though prosecutors are under no obligation to negotiate. Any deal would also need to be approved by a judge. WHEN COULD A TRIAL FOR ADANI HAPPEN? A trial could still be a long way off even if Adani is extradited or surrenders in the U.S. Adani’s lawyers would be entitled to litigate the admissibility of evidence and other legal questions before a trial could begin, as would lawyers for his seven co-defendants, who could seek separate trials. Adani would be entitled to a speedy trial within 70 days under U.S. law, though he would likely waive that right to give his lawyers more time to fight the charges. WHAT PENALTIES COULD ADANI FACE? If convicted, Adani could face decades in prison as well as monetary penalties, though any sentence would ultimately be up to the judge overseeing the case. Adani faces up to five years in prison for foreign bribery and up to 20 for securities fraud, wire fraud, obstruction of justice and conspiracy charges. A jury of 12 would need to unanimously vote to convict Adani, and he could appeal a verdict against him. (Reporting by Jack Queen in New York; Additional reporting by Luc Cohen; Editing by Noeleen Walder)
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